Public polls of this race, entered from each pollster's own release. Shown for reference. They are not an input to the forecast above, which is built from state partisan lean, incumbency, fundraising and the national generic ballot (expected Dem share 45%, two-way).

The two major-party nominees, real FEC receipts, current 2026 cycle. Third-party and primary-challenger filings aren't listed here — see the note in this project's methodology on why that data isn't reliably scoped to this specific race.