The Constituency
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Senate · Oregon
MERKLEY, JEFFREY ALAN (Incumbent) vs. SMITH, DAVID BROCK
90%Democratic favored
Likely
State need65 / 100
State delivery0 / 100
State lean (Dem 2-way, 2022+2024)55%
Expected Dem share, 202660%
Leading Candidates
The two major-party nominees, real FEC receipts, current 2026 cycle. Third-party and primary-challenger filings aren't listed here — see the note in this project's methodology on why that data isn't reliably scoped to this specific race.
MERKLEY, JEFFREY ALAN (Democratic)Incumbent$5,376,935 raised
SMITH, DAVID BROCK (Republican)$311,174 raised
Forecast as of November 1, 2026.
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