Neither leading candidate is on file as the sitting senator — this seat's incumbent may not have filed a 2026 committee yet.
100%Democratic favored
Safe
State need47 / 100
State delivery73 / 100
State lean (Dem 2-way, 2022+2024)80%
Expected Dem share, 202683%
Leading Candidates
The two major-party nominees, real FEC receipts, current 2026 cycle. Third-party and primary-challenger filings aren't listed here — see the note in this project's methodology on why that data isn't reliably scoped to this specific race.
MOULTON, SETH (Democratic)$6,669,668 raised
DEATON, JOHN (Republican)$1,674,460 raised
Forecast as of November 1, 2026.
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