The Constituency
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House · OH-15 · Ohio
Carey, Mike
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59%Republican favored
Toss-up
Baccountability grade
District need32 / 100
2024 baseline (Dem 2-way)43%
Expected Dem share, 202649%
Declared Candidates
Real FEC filings for this district — receipts, disbursements, and cash on hand, current 2026 cycle.
Carey, MikeRepublican Party · Incumbent
$4,184,981 raised
Disbursed: $3,975,933Cash on hand: $370,343PAC money: $2,192,850As of 10/14/2026
Leonard, Don RalphDemocratic Party
$1,329,844 raised
Disbursed: $1,232,137Cash on hand: $97,707PAC money: $50,000As of 10/14/2026
Miller, Adam ClayDemocratic Party
$907,015 raised
Disbursed: $910,536Cash on hand: $93PAC money: $62,500As of 9/30/2026
O'connor, Daniel Jay Jr.Democratic Party
$8,730 raised
Disbursed: $36,113Cash on hand: $215,103PAC money: $0As of 9/30/2026
Lare, JeffRepublican Party
$0 raised
Disbursed: $0Cash on hand: $2,550PAC money: $0As of 9/30/2026
Pargeter, EvanRepublican Party
$0 raised
Disbursed: $0Cash on hand: $0PAC money: $0
Ronan, SamuelRepublican Party
$0 raised
Disbursed: $1,000Cash on hand: $-9,857PAC money: $0As of 10/14/2026
Stivers, Steve Mr.Republican Party · Incumbent
$0 raised
Disbursed: $56,832Cash on hand: $19,936PAC money: $0As of 9/30/2026
Stewart, BrianRepublican Party
$0 raised
Disbursed: $0Cash on hand: $0PAC money: $0As of 6/30/2026
Forecast as of November 1, 2026.
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