The Constituency
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House · CA-23 · California
Obernolte, Jay
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84%Republican favored
Likely
Daccountability grade
District need79 / 100
2024 baseline (Dem 2-way)39%
Expected Dem share, 202645%
Declared Candidates
Real FEC filings for this district — receipts, disbursements, and cash on hand, current 2026 cycle.
Obernolte, JayRepublican Party · Incumbent
$1,854,658 raised
Disbursed: $1,473,930Cash on hand: $1,378,568PAC money: $1,109,371As of 10/14/2026
Matthews, KarenIndependent
$174,651 raised
Disbursed: $174,651Cash on hand: $0PAC money: $5,050As of 6/22/2026
Hodge, Tessa LynnDemocratic Party
$126,772 raised
Disbursed: $114,337Cash on hand: $12,434PAC money: $0As of 10/14/2026
Chakalian, PaulDemocratic Party
$72,675 raised
Disbursed: $72,675Cash on hand: $0PAC money: $500As of 1/29/2026
Wallis, Charles PatrickDemocratic Party
$63,684 raised
Disbursed: $63,660Cash on hand: $24PAC money: $0As of 6/23/2026
Claiborne, Alexis LDemocratic Party
$11,843 raised
Disbursed: $6,341Cash on hand: $2,655PAC money: $0As of 12/31/2025
Marshall, DerekDemocratic Party
$1,901 raised
Disbursed: $5,114Cash on hand: $0PAC money: $250As of 3/31/2026
Lacey, ScottRepublican Party
$0 raised
Disbursed: $0Cash on hand: $0PAC money: $0
Gill, LouisDemocratic Party
$0 raised
Disbursed: $180Cash on hand: $720PAC money: $0As of 6/30/2025
Arceo, Miguel AngelDemocratic Party
$0 raised
Disbursed: $0Cash on hand: $0PAC money: $0
Forecast as of November 1, 2026.
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